The Federal Reserve delivered on its widely expected quarter-percentage point interest-rate cut at the July meeting. It was the first reduction since 2008 and came in response to slowing global economic growth and muted inflation.
The simmering trade war between the United States and China is expected to continue, and could put the economy at risk.
If Italy’s populist government increases government debt, prices of Italian bonds and banks could drop and trigger a larger crisis for the region and world.
On the surface, U.S. stocks appear more expensive than international stocks, but a quantitative comparison reveals the impact of sector valuations.
Our analysis finds that industry group weightings play a significant role in valuation discrepancies between U.S. and European equities.
The Japan election could have consequences for the future leadership of the Bank of Japan and the country’s impact on global interest rate trends.
The revelations of May 17 may pose a threat to President Temer’s administration, and therefore a threat to Brazil’s short- and medium-term economic outlook.
We are watching the referendum in Italy this weekend for yet another existential crisis for the euro.
With the United Kingdom beginning to move forward with Brexit, we see risks to the economy, the pound, and the markets.