Macroeconomics

Mixed data may hint at economic slowdown

While the U.S. economy merits a degree of optimism, as the recovering housing sector has supported improvement in the labor market and consumer spending, we question the outlook for the balance of 2013. A key indicator in our research reveals … Continue reading »

Housing recovery builds on a new foundation

Although some areas of the real estate market still have weaknesses, a number of factors are coming together to support the recovery in the housing market.

A time for leadership

The United States must move forward and grow, and in doing so, not settle for the mediocrity of the so-called new normal. Our fiscal cliff dilemma has underscored the fact that we have a deficit of political leadership and a … Continue reading »

U.S. bond opportunities still stack up

We continue to be cautiously optimistic on the U.S. economy, which has been gradually improving. Clearly, there are a number of long-term fiscal issues that the federal government needs to address, including entitlement spending and the debt load overall. Nevertheless, … Continue reading »

Facing down the fiscal cliff (replay)

How much might the fiscal cliff disrupt the economy? Improving trends in the U.S. private sector — from housing prices to consumer confidence — contrast with the possible negative effects on growth as the public sector moves toward fiscal consolidation. … Continue reading »

Fixed-income markets returning to normal

The level of market distress surrounding global macro risks has declined in the latter half of 2012, helping sentiment and trading conditions in fixed-income markets return to more normal levels similar to those seen before the 2008 financial crisis.